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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich — Prediction

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
1 – 3
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Bundesliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

FSV Mainz 05
  • SV Elversberg 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen
  • FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayern Munich
  • Atlético Madrid 0–2 Bayern Munich
  • Bayern Munich 2–2 Borussia Dortmund
  • Bayern Munich 6–1 FC Magdeburg
  • SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern Munich
  • Bayern Munich 6–1 RB Leipzig
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: FSV Mainz 05 8 · Bayern Munich 8. Data saved: 2026-11-03 21:50 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Bayern Munich 53% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.31
Model goal expectation · 2 3.79
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
BTTS 71%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: FSV Mainz 05 1.31 · Bayern Munich 3.79.
1 8% · X 10% · 2 81%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:3 7.2%
1:4 6.9%
1:2 5.7%
0:3 5.5%
0:4 5.2%
2:3 4.7%
2:4 4.5%
0:2 4.4%
2:2 3.8%
1:1 3%
0:1 2.3%
3:3 2.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Bayern Munich Win
Probability 81%
Predicted Odds 1.23

Team Comparison

FSV Mainz 05 Bayern Munich
9 League Position 1
10 Points 18
38% Win % 63%
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 3.38
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

FSV Mainz 05 at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
Bayern Munich Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

FSV Mainz 05
L L W W L
Bayern Munich
W D W W W

More Bundesliga Predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 2 · 44%
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 69%
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 68%
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 44%
SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 37%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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