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Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg — Prediction

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Bundesliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Real Betis
  • Bayern Munich 2–2 Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund
  • VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
  • SV Elversberg 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
  • SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
  • FC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg
  • SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern Munich
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Borussia Dortmund 8 · SV Elversberg 8. Data saved: 2026-11-03 21:50 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Borussia Dortmund 42% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.16
Model goal expectation · 2 0.79
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 48%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Borussia Dortmund 2.16 · SV Elversberg 0.79.
1 69% · X 19% · 2 12%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 12.2%
1:0 11.3%
2:1 9.7%
1:1 8.9%
3:0 8.8%
3:1 7%
0:0 5.2%
4:0 4.7%
0:1 4.1%
2:2 3.8%
4:1 3.8%
1:2 3.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Borussia Dortmund Win
Probability 69%
Predicted Odds 1.45

Team Comparison

Borussia Dortmund SV Elversberg
2 League Position 7
18 Points 13
63% Win % 50%
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2

Venue Form

Borussia Dortmund at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
SV Elversberg Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund
W D W D W
SV Elversberg
W L W D L

More Bundesliga Predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 2 · 44%
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 68%
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 44%
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 81%
SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 37%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.