1
32%
Home Win
3.09
X
26%
Draw
3.9
2
42%
Away Win
2.38
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vitoria an expected 1.2 goals and Vasco DA Gama an expected 1.5 goals. Vitoria have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Vasco DA Gama at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
0:1
9.8%
1:2
8.9%
1:0
8.4%
2:1
7.6%
0:2
7.1%
0:0
6.7%
2:2
5.5%
2:0
5.2%
1:3
4.3%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vitoria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Vitoria | Vasco DA Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 14 |
| 45 | Points | 45 |
| 29% | Win % | 34% |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Vitoria at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Vasco DA Gama Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Vitoria
W
D
Vasco DA Gama
D
L
Head to Head
Vasco DA Gama
4 : 3
Vitoria
L
Vitoria
2 : 1
Vasco DA Gama
L
Vitoria
0 : 1
Vasco DA Gama
W
