1
53%
Home Win
1.9
X
28%
Draw
3.59
2
20%
Away Win
5.09
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
0.72
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vissel Kobe an expected 1.4 goals and FC Tokyo an expected 0.7 goals. Vissel Kobe have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and FC Tokyo at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.8%
0:0
12.2%
1:1
12.2%
2:0
11.6%
0:1
8.9%
2:1
8.4%
3:0
5.3%
1:2
4.4%
3:1
3.9%
0:2
3.2%
2:2
3%
4:0
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vissel Kobe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Vissel Kobe | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 11 |
| 64 | Points | 50 |
| 47% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Vissel Kobe at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
FC Tokyo Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Vissel Kobe
W
W
L
FC Tokyo
D
W
