Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 · J1 League
1 51%
Home Win 1.97
X 25%
Draw 4.06
2 25%
Away Win 4.07
xG Home 1.64
xG Away 1.06
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Vissel Kobe an expected 1.6 goals and Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.1 goals. Vissel Kobe have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Cerezo Osaka at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.7%
1:0 11%
2:1 9.6%
2:0 9%
0:1 7.2%
0:0 6.8%
1:2 6.2%
3:1 5.2%
2:2 5.1%
3:0 4.9%
0:2 3.8%
3:2 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Vissel Kobe Win
Probability 51%
Predicted Odds 1.96
Market Odds 2.09

Team Comparison

Vissel Kobe Cerezo Osaka
5 League Position 10
64 Points 52
47% Win % 37%
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Vissel Kobe at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Cerezo Osaka Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Vissel Kobe
W W L
Cerezo Osaka
W D L W