1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.28
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Villarreal an expected 2.3 goals and Elche an expected 1.1 goals. Villarreal have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Elche at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.8%
2:0
9.1%
1:1
8.6%
1:0
8%
3:1
7.4%
3:0
6.9%
2:2
5.2%
1:2
4.6%
4:1
4.2%
3:2
4%
4:0
3.9%
0:1
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Villarreal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Villarreal | Elche | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 15 |
| 72 | Points | 43 |
| 58% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Villarreal at Home
W3
D0
L3
(6 games)
Elche Away
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Villarreal
W
L
L
L
W
Elche
W
W
L
L
W
