1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rayo Vallecano an expected 1.3 goals and Elche an expected 1.0 goals. Rayo Vallecano have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Elche at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
12.7%
0:1
10%
0:0
9.8%
2:1
8.5%
2:0
8.2%
1:2
6.7%
0:2
5.2%
2:2
4.3%
3:1
3.7%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Elche Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Rayo Vallecano | Elche | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 15 |
| 50 | Points | 43 |
| 32% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Rayo Vallecano at Home
W2
D2
L1
(5 games)
Elche Away
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
L
W
D
D
W
Elche
W
W
L
L
W
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0
Elche
L
Elche
4 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
L
Elche
4 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
L
