1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.91
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Athletic Club an expected 0.9 goals and Getafe an expected 0.9 goals. Athletic Club have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Getafe at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
16.7%
1:0
15.1%
0:1
14.7%
1:1
13.4%
2:0
6.9%
0:2
6.5%
2:1
6.1%
1:2
5.9%
2:2
2.7%
3:0
2.1%
0:3
1.9%
3:1
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Athletic Club Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 34% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.94 |
| Market Odds | 3.13 |
Team Comparison
| Athletic Club | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 7 |
| 45 | Points | 51 |
| 34% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Athletic Club at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Getafe Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Athletic Club
W
W
L
W
Getafe
L
D
W