1
4%
Home Win
26.53
X
7%
Draw
15.22
2
87%
Away Win
1.15
xG Home
0.94
xG Away
4.17
Over 2.5 Goals
86%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives VfL Wolfsburg an expected 0.9 goals and Bayern Munich an expected 4.2 goals. VfL Wolfsburg have a 4% win probability, draw stands at 7%, and Bayern Munich at 87%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–4. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 86%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:4
7.6%
0:3
7.3%
1:4
7.1%
1:3
6.9%
0:2
5.3%
1:2
4.9%
2:4
3.3%
2:3
3.2%
0:1
2.5%
1:1
2.4%
2:2
2.3%
2:1
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayern Munich Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 87% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.15 |
| Market Odds | 1.22 |
Team Comparison
| VfL Wolfsburg | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 1 |
| 29 | Points | 89 |
| 21% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.59 |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
VfL Wolfsburg at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Bayern Munich Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
VfL Wolfsburg
D
L
D
L
Bayern Munich
D
W
W
