1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Augsburg an expected 1.5 goals and Union Berlin an expected 1.3 goals. FC Augsburg have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Union Berlin at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
2:1
8.9%
1:0
8.8%
1:2
7.8%
0:1
7.8%
2:0
6.7%
2:2
5.9%
0:0
5.9%
0:2
5.2%
3:1
4.4%
1:3
3.5%
3:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Augsburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| FC Augsburg | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 11 |
| 43 | Points | 39 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
Venue Form
FC Augsburg at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Union Berlin Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
FC Augsburg
D
W
D
Union Berlin
L
L
W
L
