1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FSV Mainz 05 an expected 1.5 goals and Werder Bremen an expected 1.0 goals. FSV Mainz 05 have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Werder Bremen at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.6%
1:1
12.2%
2:0
9.6%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.2%
0:1
8%
1:2
5.9%
3:0
4.9%
3:1
4.7%
2:2
4.5%
0:2
3.9%
3:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FSV Mainz 05 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| FSV Mainz 05 | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 15 |
| 40 | Points | 32 |
| 29% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
FSV Mainz 05 at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Werder Bremen Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
FSV Mainz 05
L
L
L
Werder Bremen
D
L
D
L
