RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.75
xG Away 1.29
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Leipzig an expected 1.7 goals and SV Elversberg an expected 1.3 goals. RB Leipzig have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and SV Elversberg at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.8%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.3%
2:0 7.3%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.2%
2:2 6.1%
3:1 5.5%
0:0 4.8%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4%
3:2 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick RB Leipzig Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Venue Form

RB Leipzig at Home
W4 D0 L0 (4 games)
100% win rate
SV Elversberg Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
W W W W
SV Elversberg
D W