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Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Prediction

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Fri, 06 Nov 2026 · Bundesliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
6 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Hamburger SV
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 Hamburger SV
  • SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV
  • Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart
  • Hamburger SV 2–1 FC Koln
  • RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Paderborn 07
  • VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05
  • SC Freiburg 5–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Hamburger SV 8 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 8. Data saved: 2026-11-03 21:50 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Borussia Mönchengladbach 43% · 2026-11-05 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.49
Model goal expectation · 2 1.73
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 64%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Hamburger SV 1.49 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.73.
1 33% · X 23% · 2 44%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.3%
1:2 8.9%
2:1 7.7%
0:1 7%
2:2 6.6%
0:2 6%
1:0 6%
1:3 5.1%
2:0 4.4%
0:0 4%
2:3 3.8%
3:1 3.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Borussia Mönchengladbach Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27

Team Comparison

Hamburger SV Borussia Mönchengladbach
15 League Position 18
9 Points 4
38% Win % 13%
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 2.75

Venue Form

Hamburger SV at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Borussia Mönchengladbach Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
L L W W L
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D W L L L