1
67%
Home Win
1.49
X
17%
Draw
5.87
2
16%
Away Win
6.43
xG Home
2.58
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives VfB Stuttgart an expected 2.6 goals and FC Koln an expected 1.2 goals. VfB Stuttgart have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and FC Koln at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.1%
3:1
7.9%
2:0
7.7%
1:1
7.1%
3:0
6.6%
1:0
5.9%
2:2
5.4%
4:1
5.1%
3:2
4.7%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
4.2%
4:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | VfB Stuttgart Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| VfB Stuttgart | FC Koln | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 14 |
| 62 | Points | 32 |
| 53% | Win % | 21% |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
VfB Stuttgart at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
FC Koln Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
VfB Stuttgart
W
D
D
FC Koln
D
