VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 23 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.17
xG Away 1.02
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 57%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives VfB Stuttgart an expected 2.2 goals and Borussia Mönchengladbach an expected 1.0 goals. VfB Stuttgart have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.9%
2:0 9.7%
1:1 9.1%
1:0 8.9%
3:1 7.2%
3:0 7%
2:2 5%
1:2 4.6%
0:1 4.2%
0:0 4.1%
4:1 3.9%
4:0 3.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick VfB Stuttgart Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 League Position 12
62 Points 38
53% Win % 26%
2.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56

Venue Form

VfB Stuttgart at Home
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate
Borussia Mönchengladbach Away
W0 D1 L3 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
W D D
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L L D L

Head to Head

25 Jan 2026 Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 : 3 VfB Stuttgart
W
30 Aug 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1 : 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
L
01 Feb 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1 : 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach
W