1
32%
Home Win
3.16
X
24%
Draw
4.24
2
45%
Away Win
2.23
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives VfB Stuttgart an expected 1.4 goals and Borussia Dortmund an expected 1.7 goals. VfB Stuttgart have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Borussia Dortmund at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
1:2
9.1%
0:1
7.7%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
6.5%
2:2
6.4%
1:0
6.3%
1:3
5.2%
0:0
4.5%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
3.7%
2:3
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Borussia Dortmund Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 62 | Points | 73 |
| 53% | Win % | 65% |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
VfB Stuttgart at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Borussia Dortmund Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
VfB Stuttgart
W
D
D
Borussia Dortmund
W
L
L
W
