1
45%
Home Win
2.24
X
22%
Draw
4.59
2
33%
Away Win
2.99
xG Home
1.93
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives VfB Stuttgart an expected 1.9 goals and Bayer Leverkusen an expected 1.6 goals. VfB Stuttgart have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Bayer Leverkusen at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
8.9%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
7.3%
2:2
7.1%
3:1
5.5%
1:0
5.4%
2:0
5.2%
0:1
4.6%
3:2
4.5%
1:3
4%
2:3
3.9%
0:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | VfB Stuttgart Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| VfB Stuttgart | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 62 | Points | 59 |
| 53% | Win % | 50% |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
VfB Stuttgart at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Bayer Leverkusen Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
VfB Stuttgart
W
D
D
Bayer Leverkusen
L
W
D
