1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.88
xG Away
2.38
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vasco DA Gama an expected 0.9 goals and Flamengo an expected 2.4 goals. Vasco DA Gama have a 12% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Flamengo at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.9%
1:2
9.6%
0:1
9.1%
0:3
8.6%
1:1
8%
1:3
7.6%
0:4
5.1%
1:4
4.5%
2:2
4.2%
0:0
3.8%
2:1
3.5%
1:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Vasco DA Gama | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 1 |
| 45 | Points | 79 |
| 34% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.05 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
Vasco DA Gama at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Flamengo Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Vasco DA Gama
W
L
W
W
L
Flamengo
D
W
W
