1
12%
Home Win
8.4
X
17%
Draw
6.06
2
71%
Away Win
1.4
xG Home
0.92
xG Away
2.49
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Valencia an expected 0.9 goals and Barcelona an expected 2.5 goals. Valencia have a 12% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Barcelona at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.3%
1:2
9.4%
0:3
8.5%
0:1
8.3%
1:3
7.8%
1:1
7.6%
0:4
5.3%
1:4
4.9%
2:2
4.3%
2:3
3.6%
2:1
3.5%
0:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Barcelona Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Valencia | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 1 |
| 49 | Points | 94 |
| 34% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
Valencia at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Barcelona Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Valencia
D
L
W
Barcelona
W
W
W
