Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · La Liga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.41
xG Away 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Celta de Vigo an expected 1.4 goals and Real Betis an expected 1.3 goals. Celta de Vigo have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Real Betis at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12%
1:0 8.9%
0:1 8.5%
2:1 8.5%
1:2 8.1%
0:0 6.3%
2:0 6.3%
0:2 5.7%
2:2 5.7%
3:1 4%
1:3 3.6%
3:0 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Celta de Vigo Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

Celta de Vigo Real Betis
6 League Position 5
54 Points 60
37% Win % 39%
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26

Venue Form

Celta de Vigo at Home
W1 D2 L2 (5 games)
20% win rate
Real Betis Away
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Celta de Vigo
D D L W L
Real Betis
D D W D W