1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Valencia an expected 1.5 goals and Athletic Club an expected 1.1 goals. Valencia have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Athletic Club at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
10.9%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.3%
2:0
8.1%
0:0
7.4%
1:2
6.9%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
4%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Valencia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Valencia | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 12 |
| 49 | Points | 45 |
| 34% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Valencia at Home
W1
D1
L4
(6 games)
Athletic Club Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Valencia
L
L
L
D
L
Athletic Club
L
W
L
