V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe Prediction

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V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · J1 League
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives V-Varen Nagasaki an expected 1.5 goals and Vissel Kobe an expected 1.2 goals. V-Varen Nagasaki have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Vissel Kobe at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Vissel Kobe Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

V-Varen Nagasaki at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Vissel Kobe Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

V-Varen Nagasaki
W W L
Vissel Kobe
L D L

Head to Head

13 Feb 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe 2 : 0 V-varen Nagasaki
L
06 Oct 2018 J1 League
Vissel Kobe 1 : 1 V-varen Nagasaki
D
18 Jul 2018 J1 League
V-varen Nagasaki 0 : 1 Vissel Kobe
W