1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.04
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Utrecht an expected 2.0 goals and Fortuna Sittard an expected 1.0 goals. Utrecht have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Fortuna Sittard at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.8%
2:0
9.6%
1:0
9.4%
3:1
6.8%
3:0
6.5%
2:2
5.2%
1:2
5.1%
0:1
4.8%
0:0
4.6%
3:2
3.5%
4:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Utrecht Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Utrecht | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 11 |
| 53 | Points | 39 |
| 44% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Utrecht at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Fortuna Sittard Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Utrecht
D
W
W
Fortuna Sittard
W
L
L
Head to Head
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 0
Utrecht
L
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 0
Utrecht
D
Utrecht
2 : 5
Fortuna Sittard
W
