Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 · J1 League
1 53%
Home Win 1.9
X 32%
Draw 3.13
2 15%
Away Win 6.49
xG Home 1.15
xG Away 0.48
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
BTTS 26%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Urawa an expected 1.2 goals and Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.5 goals. Urawa have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Tokyo Verdy at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 78%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 22.5%
0:0 19.6%
2:0 13%
1:1 10.8%
0:1 9.4%
2:1 6.2%
3:0 5%
1:2 2.6%
3:1 2.4%
0:2 2.3%
2:2 1.5%
4:0 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Urawa Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

Urawa Tokyo Verdy
7 League Position 17
59 Points 43
42% Win % 29%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.61
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08

Venue Form

Urawa at Home
W3 D0 L3 (6 games)
50% win rate
Tokyo Verdy Away
W0 D3 L2 (5 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Urawa
L L W W L
Tokyo Verdy
D D D L L