1
29%
Home Win
3.5
X
33%
Draw
3
2
38%
Away Win
2.62
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
BTTS
34%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Urawa an expected 0.8 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.0 goals. Urawa have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
17.4%
0:1
16.7%
1:0
13.7%
1:1
13.2%
0:2
8%
1:2
6.3%
2:0
5.4%
2:1
5.2%
0:3
2.6%
2:2
2.5%
1:3
2%
3:0
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Urawa | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 4 |
| 59 | Points | 68 |
| 42% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Urawa at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Urawa
L
W
W
L
W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
W
L
