1
48%
Home Win
2.07
X
28%
Draw
3.58
2
24%
Away Win
4.21
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
0.86
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Urawa an expected 1.3 goals and FC Tokyo an expected 0.9 goals. Urawa have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and FC Tokyo at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.9%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
11%
2:0
10%
0:1
9.4%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
5.4%
3:0
4.5%
0:2
4%
3:1
3.9%
2:2
3.7%
3:2
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Urawa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Urawa | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 11 |
| 59 | Points | 50 |
| 42% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Urawa at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
FC Tokyo Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Urawa
L
W
W
L
W
FC Tokyo
W
D
W