Urawa vs FC Tokyo Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 16 May 2026 · J1 League
1 48%
Home Win 2.07
X 28%
Draw 3.58
2 24%
Away Win 4.21
xG Home 1.35
xG Away 0.86
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 43%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Urawa an expected 1.3 goals and FC Tokyo an expected 0.9 goals. Urawa have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and FC Tokyo at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.9%
1:1 12.7%
0:0 11%
2:0 10%
0:1 9.4%
2:1 8.6%
1:2 5.4%
3:0 4.5%
0:2 4%
3:1 3.9%
2:2 3.7%
3:2 1.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Urawa Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Urawa FC Tokyo
7 League Position 11
59 Points 50
42% Win % 34%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26

Venue Form

Urawa at Home
W3 D0 L2 (5 games)
60% win rate
FC Tokyo Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Urawa
L W W L W
FC Tokyo
W D W