Union Berlin vs FC Koln — Prediction

Union Berlin

0 – 1

Most likely score (model)

Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · Bundesliga

Open Match Centre

Score · Lineups · Live stats

FC Koln

Match information

Scheduled

Kickoff: 1 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
Competition: Bundesliga

Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Union Berlin

2026-10-24 FC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
2026-09-18 Bayern Munich 7–0 Union Berlin
2026-09-11 Union Berlin 1–3 FC Schalke 04
2026-09-05 Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 Union Berlin
2026-05-16 Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg

FC Koln

2026-10-24 FC Koln 0–0 FC Schalke 04
2026-09-19 Hamburger SV 2–1 FC Koln
2026-09-12 FC Koln 1–1 Werder Bremen
2026-05-16 Bayern Munich 5–1 FC Koln
2026-05-10 FC Koln 1–3 FC Heidenheim

Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Union Berlin 7 · FC Koln 7. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: FC Koln 37% · 2026-10-31 10:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.81

Model goal expectation · 2 1.52

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

BTTS 43%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Union Berlin 0.81 · FC Koln 1.52.
1 20% · X 26% · 2 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 14.7%

1:1 12%

0:2 11.2%

0:0 9.7%

1:2 9.1%

1:0 7.9%

0:3 5.7%

2:1 4.9%

1:3 4.6%

2:2 3.7%

2:0 3.2%

0:4 2.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome	FC Koln Win
Probability	54%
Predicted Odds	1.85

Team Comparison

Union Berlin		FC Koln
17	League Position	12
6	Points	8
14%	Win %	29%
0.86	Avg Goals Scored	1.14
2.57	Avg Goals Conceded	1.57

Venue Form

Union Berlin at Home

W1 D0 L1 (2 games)

50% win rate

FC Koln Away

W0 D0 L2 (2 games)

0% win rate

Recent Form

Union Berlin

D L L L W

FC Koln

D L D L L

Head to Head

02 May 2026 bundesliga

Union Berlin 2 : 2 FC Koln

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