Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart — Prediction

2 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Bayer Leverkusen
  • Bayer Leverkusen 5–2 FC Nurnberg
  • 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 Bayer Leverkusen
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Celje
  • FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
  • SC Paderborn 07 0–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund
  • 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Viking
  • Bayern Munich 2–0 VfB Stuttgart
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Bayer Leverkusen 7 · VfB Stuttgart 7. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Bayer Leverkusen 64% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.56
Model goal expectation · 2 1.27
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
BTTS 66%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Bayer Leverkusen 2.56 · VfB Stuttgart 1.27.
1 65% · X 17% · 2 17%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9%
3:1 7.7%
2:0 7.1%
1:1 7.1%
3:0 6.1%
2:2 5.7%
1:0 5.6%
4:1 4.9%
3:2 4.9%
1:2 4.5%
4:0 3.9%
4:2 3.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Bayer Leverkusen Win
Probability 65%
Predicted Odds 1.54

Team Comparison

Bayer Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart
4 League Position 15
13 Points 6
57% Win % 29%
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86

Venue Form

Bayer Leverkusen at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
VfB Stuttgart Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Bayer Leverkusen
W L W W D
VfB Stuttgart
W L L W L

Head to Head

09 May 2026 bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
L