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FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg — Prediction

FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
1 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Bundesliga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
  • Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1–4 FC Augsburg
  • Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
  • SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg
  • SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern Munich
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 SC Freiburg
  • SC Freiburg 5–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SC Freiburg
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: FC Augsburg 7 · SC Freiburg 7. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: FC Augsburg 52% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 34%
Home Win 2.95
X 20%
Draw 4.94
2 46%
Away Win 2.18
Model goal expectation · 1 1.88
Model goal expectation · 2 2.20
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
BTTS 75%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: FC Augsburg 1.88 · SC Freiburg 2.20.
1 34% · X 20% · 2 46%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 7.7%
2:2 7.2%
1:1 7%
2:1 6.6%
1:3 5.6%
2:3 5.3%
3:2 4.5%
3:1 4.1%
0:2 4.1%
0:1 3.7%
3:3 3.3%
1:0 3.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome SC Freiburg Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

FC Augsburg SC Freiburg
9 League Position 3
9 Points 13
29% Win % 57%
2.43 Avg Goals Scored 2.29
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29

Venue Form

FC Augsburg at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
SC Freiburg Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

FC Augsburg
D L D W L
SC Freiburg
W L D W W

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