1
43%
Home Win
2.31
X
25%
Draw
4.03
2
32%
Away Win
3.15
xG Home
1.55
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Union Berlin an expected 1.6 goals and FC Augsburg an expected 1.3 goals. Union Berlin have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and FC Augsburg at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
2:1
9%
1:0
9%
1:2
7.5%
0:1
7.5%
2:0
7%
2:2
5.8%
0:0
5.8%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.7%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Union Berlin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Union Berlin | FC Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 9 |
| 39 | Points | 43 |
| 29% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
Venue Form
Union Berlin at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
FC Augsburg Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Union Berlin
L
D
L
FC Augsburg
W
W
W
L
