1
79%
Home Win
1.26
X
13%
Draw
7.97
2
8%
Away Win
12.55
xG Home
2.97
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 3.0 goals and León FC an expected 0.9 goals. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and León FC at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
9.4%
3:0
9.3%
2:1
8.3%
3:1
8.2%
4:0
6.9%
1:0
6.4%
4:1
6.1%
1:1
5.6%
2:2
3.6%
3:2
3.6%
4:2
2.7%
1:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 79% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.27 |
| Market Odds | 1.35 |
Team Comparison
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | León FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 10 |
| 36 | Points | 22 |
| 59% | Win % | 41% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
León FC Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L
W
D
W
León FC
L
L
