Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.44
xG Away 1.37
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 57%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Ulsan Hyundai FC an expected 1.4 goals and Incheon United an expected 1.4 goals. Ulsan Hyundai FC have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Incheon United at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.9%
1:0 8.7%
2:1 8.6%
0:1 8.2%
1:2 8.1%
2:0 6.2%
0:0 6%
2:2 5.9%
0:2 5.6%
3:1 4.1%
1:3 3.7%
3:0 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Ulsan Hyundai FC Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

Ulsan Hyundai FC Incheon United
2 League Position 6
51 Points 46
45% Win % 36%
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

Ulsan Hyundai FC at Home
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate
Incheon United Away
W1 D1 L3 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Ulsan Hyundai FC
D W W W L
Incheon United
D L L W L