1
37%
Home Win
2.7
X
30%
Draw
3.39
2
33%
Away Win
2.99
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Udinese an expected 1.1 goals and Lazio an expected 1.0 goals. Udinese have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Lazio at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
1:0
12.9%
0:1
12.1%
0:0
11.6%
2:1
7.5%
2:0
7.2%
1:2
7%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
3.9%
3:1
2.8%
3:0
2.7%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Udinese Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Udinese | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 9 |
| 50 | Points | 54 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Udinese at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Lazio Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Udinese
W
L
Lazio
W
W