1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.97
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Udinese an expected 1.0 goals and AC Milan an expected 1.3 goals. Udinese have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and AC Milan at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.3%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
9.9%
1:0
9.6%
0:2
8.9%
1:2
8.7%
2:1
6.3%
2:0
4.7%
2:2
4.2%
0:3
4%
1:3
3.9%
3:1
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AC Milan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Udinese | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 5 |
| 50 | Points | 70 |
| 37% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Udinese at Home
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
AC Milan Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Udinese
L
L
W
L
AC Milan
W
D
L
W
