1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Toulouse an expected 1.3 goals and Lyon an expected 1.4 goals. Toulouse have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Lyon at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
0:1
9.5%
1:2
8.7%
1:0
8.6%
2:1
7.8%
0:2
6.8%
0:0
6.7%
2:2
5.6%
2:0
5.5%
1:3
4.1%
3:1
3.3%
0:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lyon Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Toulouse | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 4 |
| 44 | Points | 60 |
| 36% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Toulouse at Home
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Lyon Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Toulouse
D
W
D
D
Lyon
L
W
L
Head to Head
Toulouse
2 : 1
Lyon
W
Lyon
1 : 2
Toulouse
W
Lyon
0 : 0
Toulouse
D
