1
32%
Home Win
3.15
X
27%
Draw
3.74
2
42%
Away Win
2.41
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Toulouse an expected 1.2 goals and Lille an expected 1.4 goals. Toulouse have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Lille at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
0:1
11%
1:0
9.4%
1:2
8.6%
0:0
8.1%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
7.3%
2:0
5.4%
2:2
5%
1:3
3.9%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Toulouse | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 3 |
| 45 | Points | 61 |
| 35% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Toulouse at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Lille Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Toulouse
W
D
D
Lille
W
W
D