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Auxerre vs Paris FC — Prediction

Auxerre Auxerre
1 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Paris FC Paris FC

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Auxerre
  • Strasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
  • Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans
  • LE Havre AC 1–3 Auxerre
  • Auxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • Auxerre 0–0 Nice
Paris FC
  • Paris FC 3–1 Monaco
  • Lens 2–1 Paris FC
  • Paris FC 4–3 Rennes FC
  • Paris FC 2–1 Strasbourg
  • Paris FC 0–0 Lyon
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Auxerre 9 · Paris FC 9. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Paris FC 38% · 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.14
Model goal expectation · 2 2.77
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
BTTS 64%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Auxerre 1.14 · Paris FC 2.77.
1 13% · X 15% · 2 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 8.8%
1:3 8.1%
0:2 7.7%
0:3 7.1%
1:1 6.3%
1:4 5.6%
0:1 5.5%
2:2 5%
0:4 4.9%
2:3 4.6%
2:1 3.6%
2:4 3.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome Paris FC Win
Probability 71%
Predicted Odds 1.41

Team Comparison

Auxerre Paris FC
14 League Position 4
10 Points 17
33% Win % 56%
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
2.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11

Venue Form

Auxerre at Home
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate
Paris FC Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Auxerre
L D W W D
Paris FC
W L W W D

More Ligue 1 Predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 1 · 46%
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 86%

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01

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02

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03

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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