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Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon — Prediction

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Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 16:15 UTC
Competition
Ligue 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Stade Brestois 29
  • Lorient 0–0 Stade Brestois 29
  • Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
  • Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • Auxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
  • Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
  • Real Sociedad 1–1 Lyon
  • Lyon 2–0 Angers
  • Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon
  • Lyon 2–1 Nice
  • Lyon 4–0 Rennes FC
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Stade Brestois 29 9 · Lyon 9. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Stade Brestois 29 48% · 2026-11-07 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.98
Model goal expectation · 2 1.36
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 46%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Stade Brestois 29 0.98 · Lyon 1.36.
1 27% · X 27% · 2 45%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.1%
1:1 12.9%
0:0 9.6%
1:0 9.5%
0:2 8.9%
1:2 8.7%
2:1 6.3%
2:0 4.7%
2:2 4.3%
0:3 4%
1:3 3.9%
3:1 2.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Lyon Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Stade Brestois 29 Lyon
10 League Position 3
12 Points 17
33% Win % 56%
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78

Venue Form

Stade Brestois 29 at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
Lyon Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29
D L D L L
Lyon
D W L W W

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.