1
49%
Home Win
2.03
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
23%
Away Win
4.37
xG Home
1.37
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Toulouse an expected 1.4 goals and LE Havre AC an expected 0.8 goals. Toulouse have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and LE Havre AC at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.1%
1:1
12.6%
0:0
11%
2:0
10.3%
0:1
9.2%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
5.3%
3:0
4.7%
3:1
3.9%
0:2
3.8%
2:2
3.6%
3:2
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Toulouse Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Toulouse | LE Havre AC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 14 |
| 45 | Points | 35 |
| 35% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Toulouse at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
LE Havre AC Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Toulouse
W
D
D
LE Havre AC
D
D
