1
38%
Home Win
2.63
X
27%
Draw
3.75
2
35%
Away Win
2.83
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tottenham an expected 1.3 goals and Everton an expected 1.2 goals. Tottenham have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Everton at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
10.1%
0:1
9.7%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
7.9%
0:0
7.8%
2:0
6.6%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
3.3%
3:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tottenham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Tottenham | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 13 |
| 41 | Points | 49 |
| 26% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Tottenham at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Everton Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Tottenham
D
D
Everton
D
L
L
