1
34%
Home Win
2.97
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
42%
Away Win
2.41
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
1.53
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Torino an expected 1.4 goals and Sassuolo an expected 1.5 goals. Torino have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sassuolo at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:2
8.9%
0:1
8.5%
2:1
7.8%
1:0
7.6%
0:2
6.5%
2:2
6%
0:0
5.6%
2:0
5.1%
1:3
4.5%
3:1
3.5%
0:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sassuolo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Torino | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 11 |
| 45 | Points | 49 |
| 32% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Torino at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Sassuolo Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Torino
W
D
Sassuolo
D
L
D
Head to Head
Torino
–
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Torino
W
Sassuolo
1 : 1
Torino
D
