1
15%
Home Win
6.9
X
35%
Draw
2.83
2
50%
Away Win
1.99
xG Home
0.40
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS
21%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.4 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.0 goals. Tokyo Verdy have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 83%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
24.6%
0:0
24.4%
0:2
12.4%
1:1
9.9%
1:0
9.8%
1:2
5%
0:3
4.2%
2:1
2%
2:0
2%
1:3
1.7%
0:4
1.1%
2:2
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 4 |
| 43 | Points | 68 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
| 0.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Tokyo Verdy at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Tokyo Verdy
D
L
W
W
W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
L
W
W
L
