1
46%
Home Win
2.17
X
23%
Draw
4.31
2
31%
Away Win
3.25
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.8 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos an expected 1.4 goals. Cerezo Osaka have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Yokohama F. Marinos at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.2%
1:0
7.4%
1:2
7.3%
2:0
6.6%
2:2
6.4%
0:1
5.9%
3:1
5.4%
0:0
4.2%
0:2
4.2%
3:0
3.8%
3:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cerezo Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Cerezo Osaka | Yokohama F. Marinos | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 15 |
| 52 | Points | 43 |
| 37% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Cerezo Osaka at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Yokohama F. Marinos Away
W3
D2
L2
(7 games)
Recent Form
Cerezo Osaka
D
D
W
W
Yokohama F. Marinos
D
W
D
L
W
