1
63%
Home Win
1.58
X
21%
Draw
4.79
2
16%
Away Win
6.32
xG Home
1.99
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashima an expected 2.0 goals and Gamba Osaka an expected 0.9 goals. Kashima have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Gamba Osaka at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11.3%
2:0
11.2%
1:1
9.9%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
7.5%
3:1
6.6%
0:0
5.7%
0:1
5%
1:2
4.4%
2:2
4.3%
4:0
3.7%
4:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Kashima | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 9 |
| 76 | Points | 57 |
| 61% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Kashima at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Gamba Osaka Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Kashima
L
W
W
W
W
Gamba Osaka
L
W
L
L
