1
31%
Home Win
3.19
X
29%
Draw
3.4
2
39%
Away Win
2.54
xG Home
1.00
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Tokyo an expected 1.0 goals and Urawa an expected 1.2 goals. FC Tokyo have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Urawa at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.4%
1:1
13.4%
0:0
11.6%
1:0
11.6%
0:2
7.8%
1:2
7.7%
2:1
6.7%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
3.9%
0:3
3%
1:3
3%
3:1
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Urawa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| FC Tokyo | Urawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 7 |
| 50 | Points | 59 |
| 34% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
FC Tokyo at Home
W5
D0
L2
(7 games)
Urawa Away
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
FC Tokyo
W
W
L
W
L
Urawa
W
D
L
W
W