1
39%
Home Win
2.58
X
35%
Draw
2.86
2
26%
Away Win
3.81
xG Home
0.91
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
BTTS
30%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Avispa Fukuoka an expected 0.9 goals and Fagiano Okayama an expected 0.7 goals. Avispa Fukuoka have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Fagiano Okayama at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
20.1%
1:0
18.4%
0:1
13.9%
1:1
12.7%
2:0
8.4%
2:1
5.8%
0:2
4.8%
1:2
4.4%
3:0
2.5%
2:2
2%
3:1
1.8%
0:3
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Avispa Fukuoka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Avispa Fukuoka | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 13 |
| 48 | Points | 45 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Avispa Fukuoka at Home
W0
D4
L1
(5 games)
Fagiano Okayama Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Avispa Fukuoka
L
D
D
D
D
Fagiano Okayama
W
W
W
L
