1
14%
Home Win
7.28
X
29%
Draw
3.47
2
57%
Away Win
1.74
xG Home
0.49
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
BTTS
28%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.5 goals and Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.3 goals. Tokyo Verdy have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Kashiwa Reysol at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
21.7%
0:0
16.5%
0:2
14.3%
1:1
10.6%
1:0
8%
1:2
7%
0:3
6.3%
1:3
3.1%
2:1
2.6%
0:4
2.1%
2:0
2%
2:2
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashiwa Reysol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Tokyo Verdy | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 2 |
| 43 | Points | 75 |
| 29% | Win % | 55% |
| 0.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
Venue Form
Tokyo Verdy at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Kashiwa Reysol Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Tokyo Verdy
L
W
W
W
Kashiwa Reysol
W
L
L