1
13%
Home Win
7.72
X
30%
Draw
3.37
2
57%
Away Win
1.74
xG Home
0.44
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
BTTS
26%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.4 goals and Kashima an expected 1.3 goals. Tokyo Verdy have a 13% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Kashima at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
22.8%
0:0
18%
0:2
14.5%
1:1
10.2%
1:0
8%
1:2
6.5%
0:3
6.2%
1:3
2.7%
2:1
2.3%
0:4
2%
2:0
1.8%
2:2
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Tokyo Verdy | Kashima | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 1 |
| 43 | Points | 76 |
| 29% | Win % | 61% |
| 0.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Tokyo Verdy at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Kashima Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Tokyo Verdy
L
W
W
W
Kashima
L
D
L
W
