1
64%
Home Win
1.57
X
21%
Draw
4.67
2
15%
Away Win
6.66
xG Home
1.91
xG Away
0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tigres UANL an expected 1.9 goals and Necaxa an expected 0.8 goals. Tigres UANL have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Necaxa at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.7%
2:0
12.1%
1:1
10.2%
2:1
9.7%
3:0
7.7%
0:0
6.6%
3:1
6.2%
0:1
5.3%
1:2
4.1%
2:2
3.9%
4:0
3.7%
4:1
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tigres UANL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Tigres UANL | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 15 |
| 25 | Points | 18 |
| 41% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Tigres UANL at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Necaxa Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Tigres UANL
W
W
Necaxa
L
