1
70%
Home Win
1.43
X
17%
Draw
5.85
2
13%
Away Win
7.65
xG Home
2.45
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Telstar an expected 2.5 goals and Heracles an expected 1.0 goals. Telstar have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Heracles at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
9.8%
2:1
9.5%
3:0
8%
1:0
8%
3:1
7.8%
1:1
7.8%
4:0
4.9%
4:1
4.8%
2:2
4.6%
3:2
3.8%
1:2
3.8%
0:0
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Telstar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Telstar | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 18 |
| 37 | Points | 19 |
| 26% | Win % | 15% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.5 |
Venue Form
Telstar at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Heracles Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Telstar
W
W
Heracles
L
L
